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ABI: GPS Chip Shipments to Reach 1B in 2013

March 28, 2008 // Published as a news service by IHS

 
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Satellite-based navigation is a popular technology with consumers, and the upsurge in purchases of global positioning system (GPS) devices is fueling a similar growth in the market for GPS receiver chipsets.

A recent study from ABI Research forecasts GPS integrated circuit (IC) shipments to reach 1 billion annually in 2013.

Analysts said average selling prices (ASPs) will continue to fall, but the effect on vendors’ revenue streams will be more than offset by this strong growth in volume.

"Three factors will intersect to shape the future of the GPS IC market," said ABI Research industry analyst Jamie Moss.

"The average price of the chipset will fall to $3.50 or below by the end of 2008, permitting a true mass market adoption.

"This fall in ASP is driven by manufacturers’ goal of producing receivers that can be included in lower-margin devices, such as mobile phones. Handset-based GPS will be critical to strong market penetration."

Moss said the benefits will filter down to more traditional GPS uses such as in-car navigation.

"Meanwhile, we’re seeing growing numbers of acquisitions: large chip manufacturers buying up specialist, fabless GPS IC vendors in order to include their technologies in solutions that combine GPS with varied wireless RF [radio frequency] product offerings, especially Bluetooth."

Significant examples of such acquisitions in the second half of 2007 include Global Locate (acquired by Broadcom), GloNav by Next Experience (NXP) Semiconductors and u-Nav by Atheros.

In 2007, SiRF Technology held a commanding 70% share of the GPS IC market. It achieved this by getting in early and aggressively targeting the market for consumer devices. Analysts said while professional GPS has been around for some time, it is a much smaller and slower growing market segment.

"In terms of absolute performance, there's not a lot to choose between rival manufacturers," Moss said. "To win important contracts, the chipset must be as inexpensive as possible and as easy as possible for device manufacturers to integrate with Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, FM radio and cellular solutions. As it was with Bluetooth, there is no great proactive consumer demand for GPS in mobile phones today. But once it's there, people will use it and expect it.”

Source: ABI Research.

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